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- <text>
- <title>
- (Jan. 13, 1992) Algeria:An Alarming No Vote
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
-
- </history>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
- Jan. 13, 1992 The Recession:How Bad Is It?
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- WORLD, Page 28
- ALGERIA
- An Alarming No Vote
- </hdr><body>
- <p>The fundamentalists' big gain is more a protest against socialist
- rule than a mandate for an Islamic republic
- </p>
- <p>By JILL SMOLOWE -- Reported by J.F.O. McAllister/Washington and
- Farah Nayeri/Paris
- </p>
- <p> Given the warning flares that went up as far back as June
- 1990, when the Islamic Salvation Front coasted to easy victory
- in Algeria's municipal races, expectations were high that
- fundamentalists would score well in the country's first free
- parliamentary election. Even so, shock waves rattled both the
- Arab and Western worlds last week, when Islamists walked away
- with almost half the national vote, despite competition from 40
- other political parties. In the first round of balloting,
- fundamentalists secured 188 of 206 seats and were poised to win
- enough of the 224 remaining seats in a runoff election on Jan.
- 16 to obtain a sizable parliamentary majority. Meanwhile, the
- National Liberation Front, which has ruled Algeria with an
- autocratic hand since independence in 1962, emerged with a
- humiliating 15 seats.
- </p>
- <p> The scope of the fundamentalist mandate immediately gave
- rise to doomsday visions of an Algeria cloaked in black robes
- and veils, a Koran clutched in one hand, the other the clenched
- fist of religious fanaticism. But there was actually little to
- suggest that the north African country was about to return to
- the Middle Ages any time soon. Cool-headed analysts mostly
- regarded the vote as less an embrace of fundamentalism than a
- sharp renunciation of the socialist National Liberation Front,
- which has run the country's economy into the ground through
- corruption, mismanagement, nepotism and sloth.
- </p>
- <p> Still, the Islamists' public embrace of Koranic law raised
- fears that the chilling penal law, known as Shari`a, might be
- enforced, giving rise to such practices as flagellations,
- stonings and limb amputations. Moreover, Islamic leaders have
- repeatedly stated that mothers should attend to their children,
- and therefore should not hold a job outside the home. The
- fundamentalists also champion segregation of the sexes in both
- the workplace and schools.
- </p>
- <p> If all of this sounds eerily like Iran, a mix of
- historical, political and cultural factors set Algeria's
- experience apart. Unlike the popular uprising that swept the
- Shah from power in 1979, Algeria's fundamentalists are ascending
- to legislative power by the say-so of voters who have given
- indications that they are as little interested in the tyranny
- of Islamists as they are in the tyranny of corrupt socialists.
- </p>
- <p> Moreover, Algeria's political convulsion is less like
- Iran's than like Jordan's: in 1989 King Hussein, similarly beset
- by a disintegrating economy, permitted open parliamentary
- elections that resulted in the seating of a large fundamentalist
- block. Nonetheless, Jordan's ties to the West and its moderate
- course remain largely intact.
- </p>
- <p> In Algeria last week, the Islamic tide met with strong
- resistance. In the capital, 300,000 people turned out shouting,
- "No to fundamentalism!" Apparently emboldened by the protests,
- the government announced that it was investigating first-round
- irregularities in 145 contests that could deprive the Islamic
- Front of many of its seats.
- </p>
- <p> Unless the fundamentalists win big next week, they will
- not enjoy a free hand in any case. President Chadli Bendjedid
- not only controls the army and police force but also wields the
- constitutional authority to dissolve parliament and declare a
- state of emergency. Should the fundamentalists achieve a
- two-thirds majority, they will have enough votes to force
- constitutional changes and override presidential vetoes. Jean
- Leca, a leading French expert on Algeria, warns that in such an
- event, strict social control and dictatorship are likely to
- follow. Other analysts predict that the military, which is
- committed to a modernizing, secular state, will thwart such
- ambitions.
- </p>
- <p> A religious dictatorship would not sit well even among
- Algeria's fundamentalists, mostly Sunnis who do not exalt
- clerics to the same degree that Iran's Shi`ites do today. "The
- concept of theocracy is not something which has roots in Sunni
- society," says Professor Mary-Jane Deeb of American University's
- School of International Service in Washington. Algeria's former
- colonial ties to France also give the country a Western
- complexion that cannot be easily erased. Most Algerians speak
- French, many are exposed to European culture through French
- television and have relatives among their millions of
- compatriots now living in Europe.
- </p>
- <p> All of this does little to quell the unease of Arab,
- African and European onlookers. Neighboring Tunisia and Morocco
- feel particularly threatened by the Islamic vote. Across the
- Mediterranean, Spain, Italy and France are girding for waves of
- fleeing Algerians to wash up on their shores. And throughout the
- Arab world, there are fears that such fundamentalist successes
- will inspire Islamic radicals at home.
- </p>
- <p> Nevertheless, Algeria's future course will hinge more on
- the economy's performance than the zeal of the newly seated
- fundamentalists. In 1991 inflation ran at a rate of 100%, and
- almost a quarter of the labor force is now out of work. Oil and
- gas revenues will decline if the fundamentalists scare off
- Algeria's European clients. Bendjedid recently implemented
- financial reforms aimed at wooing foreign funds. If democracy
- continues to flower, investment will be forthcoming, opening up
- new jobs and industries. But if daily life does not improve for
- the country's 26 million residents, Algerians may mistake
- fundamentalism for a panacea and sign on to a far vaguer -- but
- undoubtedly more radical -- agenda.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
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